Next Elections in Europe

Our latest chart displaying the voting intention percentages for the upcoming elections in Europe.

Next Elections in Europe

The following chart displays the voting intention percentages for the upcoming elections in various European countries this year, alongside the political groups and ideologies represented by the parties or candidates, ranging from the far left to the far right of the political spectrum. The chart is updated regularly.

The chart categorises political parties or candidates standing in national or local elections across Europe according to their affiliations at the European Parliament or the closest equivalent group. (Click here to find a quick breakdown of what each colour-coded group represents.)





Analysis

🇬🇧 United Kingdom – 1 May Local Elections

  • In the latest polls, Labour holds a narrow lead, but Reform UK is very close behind, slightly ahead of the Conservatives. The landscape is fragmented, with no group clearly dominant. The far-right’s strength in vote intentions is particularly noteworthy.

🇷🇴 Romania – 4 May Presidential Election

  • The far-right leads the race, reflecting a rise in populist sentiment. The centre-right follows closely, while the centre-left is still competitive. Liberal forces seem marginalised in this contest.

🇦🇱 Albania – 15 May Parliamentary Elections

  • The centre-left is clearly dominant, approaching majority territory. However, the far-right also commands significant support, suggesting a deeply polarised electorate. Centrist and liberal forces remain weak.

🇵🇱 Poland – 18 May Presidential Election

  • The centre-right is ahead, with the far-right maintaining a notable presence. The opposition is fragmented, and both the far-left and centrist liberals are struggling to gain traction.

🇵🇹 Portugal – Parliamentary Elections

  • The centre-right leads convincingly, with the centre-left trailing but still relevant. The far-right has made visible gains, signalling a shift in Portuguese political dynamics. Both far-left and liberal parties appear weakened.

🇳🇴 Norway – 8 September Parliamentary Elections

  • The field is highly fragmented. The centre-right holds a slight advantage, followed closely by the centre-left. Far-right, far-left, green, and centrist liberal parties all show meaningful support, indicating a highly pluralistic political environment.

🇨🇿 Czechia – October Parliamentary Elections

  • The centre-right leads strongly, with liberal centrists also performing well. The far-left holds a surprising third place, while traditional social democrats and greens are largely absent. The overall picture shows a strong tilt towards the centre-right and liberal bloc.

🔍 Cross-European Snapshot:

  • Across these countries, the centre-right appears to be in a strong position overall, particularly in Central and Eastern Europe. The far-right is gaining ground in several contexts, while the centre-left is losing its former dominance. Greens and liberals remain marginal in most places, with few exceptions. Far-left movements persist in select countries but rarely influence the mainstream.


Here is a quick breakdown of what each colour-coded group represents in our chart:

🟤 FAR-LEFT (GUE/NGL)

  • European Affiliation: The European United Left–Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL).
  • Ideology: Far-left, anti-capitalist, socialist or communist.
  • Example Parties: La France Insoumise (France), Die Linke (Germany), Bloco de Esquerda (Portugal).

🟢 GREEN (EFA)

  • European Affiliation: Greens/European Free Alliance (Greens/EFA).
  • Ideology: Green politics, environmentalism, social justice, and regionalism.
  • Example Parties: Die Grünen (Germany), Europe Ecologie Les Verts (France), PAN (Portugal), Green Party (UK).

🔴 LEFT (S&D)

  • European Affiliation: Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D).
  • Ideology: Centre-left, social democratic.
  • Example Parties: PSOE (Spain), Partito Democratico (Italy), SPD (Germany), PS (Portugal), Labour Party (UK).

🟡 CENTRE (RENEW)

  • European Affiliation: Renew Europe (centrist/liberal group).
  • Ideology: Liberalism, pro-European integration.
  • Example Parties: Ensemble (France), Modem (France), Ciudadanos (Spain), ALDE-affiliated parties, Liberal Democrats (UK).

🔵 CENTRE-RIGHT (EPP)

  • European Affiliation: European People’s Party (EPP).
  • Ideology: Centre-right, Christian democracy, conservatism.
  • Example Parties: CDU/CSU (Germany), Partido Popular (Spain), PSD (Portugal), Les Républicains (France), Conservative Party (UK).

⚫ FAR-RIGHT (ECR/ID/others)

  • European Affiliation: A combination of the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR), Identity and Democracy (ID), and other hard-right or nationalist groups.
  • Ideology: Right-wing to far-right, often nationalist, anti-immigration, and Eurosceptic.
  • Example Parties: PiS (Poland), Rassemblement National (France), Lega (Italy), Reform UK (UK).


Sources:

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